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The Chinese Economy: Transitions and Growth Barry Naughton
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It's Mr Li who will be responsible for combating the country's slowing economic growth and, with it, potentially the fate of the world's economy. As the country prepares for only its second organized transfer of power since 1949 the incoming leadership Our hope remains that China's transition to a more sustainable trajectory will be measured, peaceful and as smooth as possible. Provided the Chinese slowdown is not for the time being, a threat to the planet. That conclusion is supported by two key factors which suggest that China's transition from high trend growth to lower trend growth is probably already underway. China's working age to non-working age population ratio Jane Golley. High and sustained GDP growth rates were based on elevated The metamorphosis of the dragon may involve painful growing pains, including the risks of a hard landing that many analysts attribute to the current transition. No sane American can wish China ill. Today, they are particularly focused on the uncertainties associated with the Chinese leadership transition, and on the economic slowdown this year. The immediate risk facing Mr Li is a prolonged economic downturn if the current stimulus, Domestic investors are more momentum driven, and typically more short-term in focus. The speed of economic growth (as well as the shape) will influence multiple investment trends over coming years including the growth rate of many other emerging markets which export to China; global commodity demand growth; the sales growth rate of European and US luxury goods and cars; and the . China has long cemented its reputation as a lucrative export market for metals and energy, but now Canada is also fuelling its gastronomic revolution. The Chinese pattern of rapid growth with structural change has been accompanied by rising economic imbalances, just as the main pillars of growth seem to be gradually weakening. Decades of rapid economic growth granted legitimacy to the Chinese Communist Party and helped minimize social unrest. Not all gifts are given freely, however. China's economic reforms over the past 30 years have transformed a faltering Communist command economy into a global engine of growth. As the world's fastest growing economy, this has amounted to a substantial gift indeed.